Canada Votes 2025

Federal Seat Projections

Last Updated April 11, 2025

About These Projections

These seat projections are based on a proprietary formula developed by Langer Public Affairs that incorporates historical voting patterns, current polling trends, and regional dynamics. The model has been fully adjusted to reflect the new 2025 federal riding boundaries.

Liberal	Conservative	NDP	Green	PPC	BQ
192	122	6	2	0	21

Province	Riding	Projection
NL	Avalon	LIB WIN
NL	Cape Spear	LIB WIN
NL	Central Newfoundland	LIB WIN
NL	Labrador	LIB WIN
NL	Long Range Mountains	LIB WIN
NL	St. John's East	LIB WIN
NL	Terra Nova—The Peninsulas	LIB WIN
PE	Cardigan	LIB WIN
PE	Charlottetown	LIB WIN
PE	Egmont	LIB WIN
PE	Malpeque	LIB WIN
NS	Acadie—Annapolis	CON WIN
NS	Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish	LIB WIN
NS	Central Nova	LIB WIN
NS	Cumberland—Colchester	CON WIN
NS	Dartmouth—Cole Harbour	LIB WIN
NS	Halifax	LIB WIN
NS	Halifax West	LIB WIN
NS	Kings—Hants	LIB WIN
NS	Sackville—Bedford—Preston	LIB WIN
NS	South Shore—St. Margarets	LIB / CON SPLIT
NS	Sydney—Glace Bay	LIB WIN
NB	Acadie—Bathurst	LIB WIN
NB	Beauséjour	LIB WIN
NB	Fredericton—Oromocto	LIB WIN
NB	Fundy Royal	CON WIN
NB	Madawaska—Restigouche	LIB WIN
NB	Miramichi—Grand Lake	CON LEAN
NB	Moncton—Dieppe	LIB WIN
NB	Saint John—Kennebecasis	LIB WIN
NB	Saint John—St. Croix	CON WIN
NB	Tobique—Mactaquac	CON WIN
PQ	Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou	LIB / BQ SPLIT
PQ	Abitibi—Témiscamingue	BQ WIN
PQ	Ahuntsic-Cartierville	LIB WIN
PQ	Alfred-Pellan	LIB WIN
PQ	Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation	LIB WIN
PQ	Beauce	CON WIN
PQ	Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon	BQ WIN
PQ	Beauport—Limoilou	LIB / CON SPLIT
PQ	Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak	BQ WIN
PQ	Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis	CON WIN
PQ	Beloeil—Chambly	BQ WIN
PQ	Berthier—Maskinongé	BQ WIN
PQ	Bourassa	LIB WIN
PQ	Brome—Missisquoi	LIB WIN
PQ	Brossard—Saint-Lambert	LIB WIN
PQ	Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles	CON WIN
PQ	Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville	LIB WIN
PQ	Chicoutimi—Le Fjord	CON WIN
PQ	Compton—Stanstead	LIB WIN
PQ	Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata	CON WIN
PQ	Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan	BQ WIN
PQ	Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle	LIB WIN
PQ	Drummond	BQ WIN
PQ	Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj	LIB WIN
PQ	Gatineau	LIB WIN
PQ	Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est	LIB WIN
PQ	Honoré-Mercier	LIB WIN
PQ	Hull—Aylmer	LIB WIN
PQ	Joliette—Manawan	BQ WIN
PQ	Jonquière	BQ WIN
PQ	La Pointe-de-l'Île	BQ LEAN
PQ	La Prairie—Atateken	LIB LEAN
PQ	Lac-Saint-Jean	BQ WIN
PQ	Lac-Saint-Louis	LIB WIN
PQ	LaSalle—Émard—Verdun	LIB WIN
PQ	Laurentides—Labelle	BQ WIN
PQ	Laurier—Sainte-Marie	LIB WIN
PQ	Laval—Les Îles	LIB WIN
PQ	Les Pays-d'en-Haut	BQ WIN
PQ	Lévis—Lotbinière	CON WIN
PQ	Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne	LIB WIN
PQ	Longueuil—Saint-Hubert	LIB WIN
PQ	Louis-Hébert	LIB WIN
PQ	Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk	CON WIN
PQ	Marc-Aurèle-Fortin	LIB WIN
PQ	Mégantic—L'Érable—Lotbinière	CON WIN
PQ	Mirabel	BQ WIN
PQ	Mount Royal	LIB WIN
PQ	Mont-Saint-Bruno—L'Acadie	LIB LEAN
PQ	Montcalm	BQ WIN
PQ	Montmorency—Charlevoix	CON LEAN
PQ	Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount	LIB WIN
PQ	Outremont	LIB WIN
PQ	Papineau	LIB WIN
PQ	Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères	BQ WIN
PQ	Pierrefonds—Dollard	LIB WIN
PQ	Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi	LIB WIN
PQ	Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier	CON WIN
PQ	Québec Centre	LIB WIN
PQ	Repentigny	BQ WIN
PQ	Richmond—Arthabaska	CON WIN
PQ	Rimouski—La Matapédia	BQ WIN
PQ	Rivière-des-Mille-Îles	LIB WIN
PQ	Rivière-du-Nord	BQ WIN
PQ	Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie	NDP LEAN
PQ	Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton	BQ WIN
PQ	Saint-Jean	BQ LEAN
PQ	Saint-Laurent	LIB WIN
PQ	Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel	LIB WIN
PQ	Saint-Maurice—Champlain	LIB WIN
PQ	Shefford	LIB WIN
PQ	Sherbrooke	LIB WIN
PQ	Terrebonne	LIB / BQ SPLIT
PQ	Thérèse-De Blainville	LIB WIN
PQ	Trois-Rivières	LIB WIN
PQ	Vaudreuil	LIB WIN
PQ	Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Sœurs	LIB WIN
PQ	Vimy	LIB WIN
ON	Ajax	LIB WIN
ON	Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke	CON WIN
ON	Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill	LIB WIN
ON	Barrie South—Innisfil	CON WIN
ON	Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte	CON WIN
ON	Bay of Quinte	LIB LEAN
ON	Beaches—East York	LIB WIN
ON	Bowmanville—Oshawa North	CON WIN
ON	Brampton Centre	LIB WIN
ON	Brampton—Chinguacousy Park	LIB WIN
ON	Brampton East	LIB WIN
ON	Brampton North—Caledon	LIB WIN
ON	Brampton South	LIB WIN
ON	Brampton West	LIB WIN
ON	Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations	CON WIN
ON	Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	CON WIN
ON	Burlington	LIB WIN
ON	Burlington North—Milton West	LIB WIN
ON	Cambridge	LIB WIN
ON	Carleton	CON WIN
ON	Chatham-Kent—Leamington	CON WIN
ON	Davenport	LIB WIN
ON	Don Valley North	LIB WIN
ON	Don Valley West	LIB WIN
ON	Dufferin—Caledon	CON WIN
ON	Eglinton—Lawrence	LIB WIN
ON	Elgin—St. Thomas—London South	CON WIN
ON	Essex	CON WIN
ON	Etobicoke Centre	LIB WIN
ON	Etobicoke—Lakeshore	LIB WIN
ON	Etobicoke North	LIB WIN
ON	Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North	CON LEAN
ON	Guelph	LIB WIN
ON	Haldimand—Norfolk	CON WIN
ON	Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes	CON WIN
ON	Hamilton Centre	LIB LEAN
ON	Hamilton East—Stoney Creek	LIB WIN
ON	Hamilton Mountain	LIB WIN
ON	Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas	LIB WIN
ON	Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga	CON LEAN
ON	Humber River—Black Creek	LIB WIN
ON	Huron—Bruce	CON WIN
ON	Kanata	LIB WIN
ON	Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk	LIB WIN
ON	Kenora—Kiiwetinoong	CON WIN
ON	Kingston and the Islands	LIB WIN
ON	King—Vaughan	LIB LEAN
ON	Kitchener Centre	GREEN LEAN
ON	Kitchener—Conestoga	LIB WIN
ON	Kitchener South—Hespeler	LIB WIN
ON	Lanark—Frontenac	CON WIN
ON	Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes	CON WIN
ON	London Centre	LIB WIN
ON	London—Fanshawe	LIB / NDP SPLIT
ON	London West	LIB WIN
ON	Markham—Stouffville	LIB WIN
ON	Markham—Thornhill	LIB WIN
ON	Markham—Unionville	LIB WIN
ON	Middlesex—London	CON WIN
ON	Milton East—Halton Hills South	LIB WIN
ON	Mississauga Centre	LIB WIN
ON	Mississauga East—Cooksville	LIB WIN
ON	Mississauga—Erin Mills	LIB WIN
ON	Mississauga—Lakeshore	LIB WIN
ON	Mississauga—Malton	LIB WIN
ON	Mississauga—Streetsville	LIB WIN
ON	Nepean	LIB WIN
ON	Newmarket—Aurora	LIB WIN
ON	New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury	CON WIN
ON	Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake	LIB LEAN
ON	Niagara South	LIB WIN
ON	Niagara West	CON WIN
ON	Nipissing—Timiskaming	LIB WIN
ON	Northumberland—Clarke	CON LEAN
ON	Oakville East	LIB WIN
ON	Oakville West	LIB WIN
ON	Orléans	LIB WIN
ON	Oshawa	CON WIN
ON	Ottawa Centre	LIB WIN
ON	Ottawa South	LIB WIN
ON	Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester	LIB WIN
ON	Ottawa West—Nepean	LIB WIN
ON	Oxford	CON WIN
ON	Parry Sound—Muskoka	CON WIN
ON	Perth—Wellington	CON WIN
ON	Peterborough	LIB LEAN
ON	Pickering—Brooklin	LIB WIN
ON	Prescott—Russell—Cumberland	LIB WIN
ON	Richmond Hill South	LIB WIN
ON	Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong	CON WIN
ON	Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma	LIB LEAN
ON	Scarborough—Agincourt	LIB WIN
ON	Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East	LIB WIN
ON	Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park	LIB WIN
ON	Scarborough North	LIB WIN
ON	Scarborough Southwest	LIB WIN
ON	Scarborough—Woburn	LIB WIN
ON	Simcoe—Grey	CON WIN
ON	Simcoe North	CON LEAN
ON	Spadina—Harbourfront	LIB WIN
ON	St. Catharines	LIB WIN
ON	Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry	CON WIN
ON	Sudbury	LIB WIN
ON	Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt	LIB WIN
ON	Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park	LIB WIN
ON	Thornhill	CON WIN
ON	Thunder Bay—Rainy River	LIB WIN
ON	Thunder Bay—Superior North	LIB WIN
ON	Toronto Centre	LIB WIN
ON	Toronto—Danforth	LIB WIN
ON	Toronto—St. Paul's	LIB WIN
ON	University—Rosedale	LIB WIN
ON	Vaughan—Woodbridge	LIB WIN
ON	Waterloo	LIB WIN
ON	Wellington—Halton Hills North	CON WIN
ON	Whitby	LIB WIN
ON	Willowdale	LIB WIN
ON	Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore	LIB WIN
ON	Windsor West	LIB LEAN
ON	York Centre	LIB WIN
ON	York—Durham	CON WIN
ON	York South—Weston—Etobicoke	LIB WIN
MB	Brandon—Souris	CON WIN
MB	Churchill—Keewatinook Aski	LIB LEAN
MB	Elmwood—Transcona	NDP WIN
MB	Kildonan—St. Paul	CON WIN
MB	Portage—Lisgar	CON WIN
MB	Provencher	CON WIN
MB	Riding Mountain	CON WIN
MB	St. Boniface—St. Vital	LIB WIN
MB	Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman	CON WIN
MB	Winnipeg Centre	LIB / NDP SPLIT
MB	Winnipeg North	LIB WIN
MB	Winnipeg South	LIB WIN
MB	Winnipeg South Centre	LIB WIN
MB	Winnipeg West	LIB WIN
SK	Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake	CON WIN
SK	Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek	CON WIN
SK	Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River	LIB WIN
SK	Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan	CON WIN
SK	Prince Albert	CON WIN
SK	Regina—Lewvan	CON WIN
SK	Regina—Qu'Appelle	CON WIN
SK	Regina—Wascana	CON WIN
SK	Saskatoon South	CON WIN
SK	Saskatoon—University	CON WIN
SK	Saskatoon West	CON WIN
SK	Souris—Moose Mountain	CON WIN
SK	Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley	CON WIN
SK	Yorkton—Melville	CON WIN
AB	Airdrie—Cochrane	CON WIN
AB	Battle River—Crowfoot	CON WIN
AB	Bow River	CON WIN
AB	Calgary Centre	CON WIN
AB	Calgary Confederation	CON WIN
AB	Calgary Crowfoot	CON WIN
AB	Calgary East	CON WIN
AB	Calgary Heritage	CON WIN
AB	Calgary McKnight	LIB WIN
AB	Calgary Midnapore	CON WIN
AB	Calgary Nose Hill	CON WIN
AB	Calgary Shepard	CON WIN
AB	Calgary Signal Hill	CON WIN
AB	Calgary Skyview	CON WIN
AB	Edmonton Centre	LIB WIN
AB	Edmonton Gateway	CON WIN
AB	Edmonton Griesbach	CON WIN
AB	Edmonton Manning	CON WIN
AB	Edmonton Northwest	CON WIN
AB	Edmonton Riverbend	CON WIN
AB	Edmonton Southeast	LIB LEAN
AB	Edmonton Strathcona	NDP WIN
AB	Edmonton West	CON WIN
AB	Foothills	CON WIN
AB	Fort McMurray—Cold Lake	CON WIN
AB	Grande Prairie	CON WIN
AB	Lakeland	CON WIN
AB	Leduc—Wetaskiwin	CON WIN
AB	Lethbridge	CON WIN
AB	Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner	CON WIN
AB	Parkland	CON WIN
AB	Peace River—Westlock	CON WIN
AB	Ponoka—Didsbury	CON WIN
AB	Red Deer	CON WIN
AB	Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan	CON WIN
AB	St. Albert—Sturgeon River	CON WIN
AB	Yellowhead	CON WIN
BC	Abbotsford—South Langley	CON WIN
BC	Burnaby Central	LIB WIN
BC	Burnaby North—Seymour	LIB WIN
BC	Cariboo—Prince George	CON WIN
BC	Chilliwack—Hope	CON WIN
BC	Cloverdale—Langley City	LIB WIN
BC	Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies	CON WIN
BC	Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam	LIB WIN
BC	Courtenay—Alberni	CON LEAN
BC	Cowichan—Malahat—Langford	CON LEAN
BC	Delta	LIB WIN
BC	Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke	LIB / NDP SPLIT
BC	Fleetwood—Port Kells	LIB WIN
BC	Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies	CON WIN
BC	Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola	CON WIN
BC	Kelowna	CON WIN
BC	Langley Township—Fraser Heights	CON WIN
BC	Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford	CON WIN
BC	Nanaimo—Ladysmith	CON WIN
BC	New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville	NDP LEAN
BC	North Island—Powell River	CON WIN
BC	North Vancouver—Capilano	LIB WIN
BC	Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna	CON WIN
BC	Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge	CON WIN
BC	Port Moody—Coquitlam	LIB LEAN
BC	Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies	CON WIN
BC	Richmond Centre—Marpole	LIB WIN
BC	Richmond East—Steveston	LIB WIN
BC	Saanich—Gulf Islands	GREEN LEAN
BC	Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay	CON WIN
BC	Skeena—Bulkley Valley	CON WIN
BC	South Surrey—White Rock	LIB LEAN
BC	Surrey Centre	LIB WIN
BC	Surrey Newton	LIB WIN
BC	Vancouver Centre	LIB WIN
BC	Vancouver East	NDP WIN
BC	Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby	LIB WIN
BC	Vancouver Granville	LIB WIN
BC	Vancouver Kingsway	NDP / LIB SPLIT
BC	Vancouver Quadra	LIB WIN
BC	Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee	CON WIN
BC	Victoria	LIB LEAN
BC	West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country	LIB WIN
YK	Yukon	LIB WIN
NT	Northwest Territories	LIB WIN
NU	Nunavut	LIB WIN

Last Updated: March 31, 2025