‘24 NS Election Results

Just like in 2021, Tim Houston’s Progressive Conservatives continue to beat expectations. While essentially all pollsters and pundits predicted a Progressive Conservative majority, few had them reaching the lofty total of 43 seats. An incredible night for the Tories and an improved result for the NDP, who move to official opposition status. The gains of both PCs and NDP come at the expense of the Liberals, just over 3 years removed from government, now reduced to just 2 seats.

The breakdown:

• Progressive Conservatives (PC): 43 seats

• New Democratic Party (NDP): 9 seats

• Liberals: 2 seats

• Independent: 1 seat

Contest Winner: Near-Perfect Predictions

Scott Ellis submitted an incredible entry to the Forecast Challenge, accurately predicting 53 of 55 seats for an incredible percentage of 96%.

Congratulations, Scott, on an outstanding effort!

How Did Langer Public Affairs Followers Do?

Overall, Langer Public Affairs readers performed very well, correctly predicting 49 of 55 ridings. Like others, readers did not accurately forecast just how far support for the Liberals would fall. Collectively, participants demonstrated remarkable insight, particularly by correctly predicting the total seat counts for the NDP (9) and the Independent candidate (1).

What’s Next for Nova Scotia?

Now with a supermajority, Premier Houston has the strongest mandate from the people of Nova Scotia in decades. While this will allow Houston and his team the ability to push their agenda without much resistance, it may also create big expectations. Now that the PCs have earned a second majority and more time to work on their big promise from 2021, fixing healthcare, Nova Scotians may start expecting to see results sooner rather than later.